Key Economic Releases
- Core PPI m/m (13 May, 08:30 pm): Forecast 0.3% vs prior 0.1% – suggests mild inflation stability, neutral for stocks; a miss could spark rate‑cut hopes.
- PPI m/m (13 May, 08:30 pm): Forecast 0.5% (prev 0.5%) – mild pressure, neutral‑to‑slightly positive for equities; persistent gains may revive rate‑hike chatter.
- Fed Chair Nomination Vote (14 May, 02:30 am): Timing signals policy outlook; delayed approval could point to cautious rate cuts, boosting growth stocks.
- Core Retail Sales m/m (14 May, 08:30 pm): Forecast 0.7% vs prior 1.9% – strong demand remains, supporting equity gains.
- Retail Sales m/m (14 May, 08:30 pm): Forecast 0.5% vs prior 1.7% – moderate growth; upside surprises lift markets, downside risks a pullback.
- Unemployment Claims (14 May, 08:30 pm): Forecast 205K vs prior 200K – mild easing, lower risk aversion, supportive for equities.
AI & Tech Pulse
- TSLA calls dominate with sweeps at $440‑$450, reinforcing short‑term gamma exposure.
- Energy sector shows mixed FANG calls and EQT puts, reflecting hedged exposure to oil volatility.
- NVDA sees aggressive June call barrage at $245‑$265, adding upside convexity amid mixed semis ETF puts.
Market Movers
- Gainers: NOK (+0.12%), STM (+0.09%), BABA (+0.08%).
- Losers: CEG (‑0.06%), TLN (‑0.06%), ACN (‑0.06%).
- Sector Flow: Consumer cyclicals surge with TSLA, BABA, AMZN calls; Energy holds firm on oil‑hedge balance.
Sentiment Snapshot
- Fear & Greed Index: 65 (Greed) – bullish tilt, but watch for caution signs.
- VIX: 17.87 (‑0.12, ‑0.67%) – stable volatility environment.
Options Insight
- Bullish call spreads on TSLA, UNH, MU; bearish puts on COHR, OSCR; defined‑risk structures recommended.Crypto Flow
- ETH ETFs see net outflows of $142 M; BTC ETFs lose $239 M – bearish pressure builds.
- Fear & Greed Crypto: 34 (Fear) – sentiment turning cautious.
Congress Trade Highlights
- Lawmakers trimming tech exposure; notable sales in AMT, CTVA; mixed Treasury moves.What to Watch Next
- Upcoming earnings (CSCO, BABA, AMAT) and Fed minutes.
- China‑U.S. summit with top CEOs—potential catalyst for tech and AI stocks.
- June FOMC minutes for rate‑policy clarity.