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- min read Macro

US 10‑Year Yield Rises to 4.74%

U.S. Treasury yields climb as Fed rate outlook stays uncertain and key earnings loom. Market gains moderate while volatility dips, with a 16 Sep Fed meeting ahead.

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Key Economic Releases

  • US 10‑Year Treasury yield at 4.736%, up 0.038% (source).
  • US 5‑Year Treasury yield at 4.426%, up 0.039% (source).
  • Fed funds rate likely to remain 3.50–3.75% with 60.1% probability ahead of the 16 Sep 2026 meeting (source).
  • VIX at 15.13, down 5.5% (source).

Market Movers

  • Gainer: IDKOY up 14.42% (market cap $10.8B) (source).
  • Loser: BABA down 8.57% (market cap $286B) (source).

Central Bank Watch

  • Fed likely holds funds at 3.50–3.75% with 60.1% probability (source).

What to Watch Next Week

  • Fed policy meeting on 16 Sep 2026.
  • NVIDIA earnings on 26 Aug 2026, expected EPS 2.06 (source).

See the data behind the analysis

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